- IVF is a game of probabilities, dependent on a range of factors such as age, sperm quality, and uterine health
- But IVF clinics in India lead with miracle stories of conception and sell hope to desperate couples—often despite unfavourable probabilities
- Many clinics now push IVF treatment as the default option, even before natural conception has been given a shot
- While insurers are wary with this sales-first approach, investors in this industry are having their day in the sun
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At 36, Beena thought she was making an informed choice.
After months of trying, and failing, to conceive naturally, she turned to IVF—encouraged by glossy brochures, reassuring doctors, and a steady stream of success stories. Beena visited three different clinics in Bengaluru in five months. All of them told her the same thing: she could be the exception to the rule. That even with just one viable egg, pregnancy was possible.
It wasn’t.
After spending Rs 3.5 lakh on her first—and last—IVF cycle, Beena learnt what her test results had predicted all along: her chances of conceiving were slim. To be precise, around 30%, compared to nearly 50% for a woman in her 20s. Ultimately, IVF is a numbers game, she realised.
It’s all about math. One in every 12 retrieved eggs may result in an implantation-ready
But IVF chains in India aren’t deterred by paltry things like probabilities. They’ve made IVF the new
The result is a
Unsurprisingly, venture-capital and private-equity firms have swooped in for the kill. In early July, Peak XV’s Surge fund led a $4 million funding round for Luma fertility, a Mumbai-based fertility startup. The month before, KKR-backed IVI RMA, a global leader in fertility, ART Fertility Clinics in India for $450 million—something insiders are calling a “game changer” for the Indian IVF industry.
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