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The Collection Wed, 23 Jul 25 |
Multiple stories, multiple perspectives, one theme worth your time—every week. |
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Agriculture has, for thousands of years, been India’s foremost advantage—the reason why the region has been among the world’s most densely populated for much of history.
And despite recent popular perception that it’s inefficient and a labour sink, there have been some impressive strides in the sector over the last few years, contributing to improvements in areas like food security and affordability.
While agriculture’s share in the country’s economic output has fallen, farm exports doubled to over $48 billion during the decade ending FY24. That’s 2.5X more than the other goods India exported during the same period, and nearly as much as the growth in its vaunted services exports. This gives India heft in the global market, at a scale unrivalled by most other sectors, noted my colleague Seetharaman G in this April edition of Make India Competitive Again.
Bharat Shining: India’s farms are its biggest trade weapon
Agriculture has given the country the kind of leverage it desperately seeks through manufacturing
This strong agri-muscle—and the farmers behind it—is also why farm tariffs have turned out to be such a major sticking point in the ongoing India-US trade talks. Currently, India levies close to 40% tariffs on US agricultural imports. The US wants that slashed to 5%—roughly the levy Indian farm exports are charged in America.
India, unsurprisingly, doesn’t seem willing to back down. At the end of June, the country’s finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman said that agriculture, along with dairy, were two “very big red lines” in the negotiations.
All that to say—agriculture is important to India.
Which only makes its failures all the more weighty.
In this week’s edition of The Collection, we present stories exploring the Indian farm sector, its vast potential, and some of the policy and business missteps that have held it back this long.
Agriculture’s slice in the employment pie has actually grown over these last few years. In FY24, it was responsible for 46% of employment, up from 44% in FY18, per the government’s latest Economic Survey.
This isn’t exactly cause for celebration, because agricultural labour productivity in India remains far below other important sectors.
The gross domestic product per worker in manufacturing is 3.2X that of agriculture, and productivity in services is 5.5X higher, according to the Foundation for Economic Development, a think tank.
Ironic, then, that the government celebrated rising female workforce participation last November, a good portion of which was driven by women working in “family-oriented economic activities”—the category that covers unpaid labour on family farms.
The elusive women powering India’s economy
The oddities of official data present a narrative rosier than reality
That’s not to say all of modern Indian agriculture (and allied sectors) is small farms worked by cash-strapped families. In recent years, some of India’s biggest conglomerates have broken into segments that were previously dominated by small businesses and farmers—such as organic foods.
Tata and ITC are harvesting what small organic-food brands cultivated for years
Conscious consumers are gravitating toward organic food. But, with a mix of small to mid-sized brands and FMCG majors, the playing field is far from level
There have also been a slew of startups and new ventures that have tried to bring technology to bear on the challenge. Agritech, though, hasn’t always lived up to its early hype, or turned much profit. And some are now pivoting away from their original missions.
Waycool, for instance, launched with the bold promise of fixing India’s broken food supply chains by connecting farmers directly to consumers. Yet today, it’s shifted focus to consumer goods and SaaS solutions.
Waycool’s pivot and the false promise of agritech
The US$700 million-worth startup wanted to reshape the food supply chain. But it increasingly looks like an FMCG company
Underlying much of these setbacks is a history of inconsistent policies, and even outright policy mistakes, that have made life harder for India’s agriculture sector.
Take saffron, for example. Cultivation in Kashmir (India’s sole growing region) has plunged over 60% since 2011, dropping to just 2.7 tonnes in 2024.
This is because unlike tea or cardamom, India never built a sustainable saffron economy. Now, with global demand rising, driven by its increasing use in nutraceuticals and cosmetics, saffron could turn out to be a huge lost opportunity.
Kashmir’s saffron is priceless. For some, it’s increasingly worthless
Climate change has only exacerbated Kashmir’s saffron economy that suffers from market fragmentation, quality dilution, and empty government promises
That’s all for this week. As always, you can share your thoughts and feedback by writing to [email protected], or leaving a comment on our app or website.
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